【ねこまたぎ通信】

Σ(゜◇゜;)  たちぶく~~ Σ(゜◇゜;)

 やったねd(^-^) かかってこんかい,とサファビ

大丈夫,米国は今腰が引けてますから.
大体ね,核拡散防止条約(NPT)*1に批准し,国際原子力機関IAEA*2の査察も受け問題なしとされ,「核兵器」の欠片も持たない国がなんで非難されなきゃいけないのか.
NPTにも加盟せず,査察も受けず,「核兵器」を保有している国がのうのうとしているではないか.

イラン:米国の対応次第でホルムズ海峡封鎖も 最高司令官

http://www.mainichi-msn.co.jp/kokusai/mideast/news/20060407k0000m030119000c.html


テヘラン春日孝之】イラン革命防衛隊のサファビ最高司令官は5日、軍事演習を展開しているペルシャ湾ホルムズ海峡について「地域の安全保障を危うくしようとしている外国勢力に経済的圧力を加えるための場所だ」と述べ、米国の対応次第では、世界の石油供給の生命線でもある海峡の封鎖もあり得ると発言した。
AP通信によると、イラン国営メディアは5日、新たに「最高機密のミサイル」の発射実験に成功したと伝えた。すべての軍用ヘリコプターや戦闘機から発射可能だという。サファビ最高司令官は「イランはいかなる侵略に対しても防戦する。米国にはイランへの軍事攻撃に動かないようアドバイスする」と警告した。
ホルムズ海峡は対岸のオマーンまで幅約50キロ。湾岸地域で産出される原油の8割、世界の原油の4割の輸送航路となっている。
毎日新聞 2006年4月6日 22時00分

おそらく米国には短期的に単独でイランにまで手を出す体力は無いと思っています.
確かにその予兆はある.「圧政国家」としてイランを執拗に非難し,諜報活動や子飼いのテログループを動かしたりしている*3のは間違いない.
米国・イスラエルにとってシリアとイランが目の上のたんこぶであるのは間違いないですが,イラク統治の失政を踏まえて,今は,イラク戦争によって分裂した欧米諸国との関係修復が急務だと考えているはずです.
長期的には,水面下の動きも含めて,協調路線で足踏みがそろった時点で,イランへの本格的な干渉が始まるのでしょう.おそらくその時には後方支援としてシリアを抑えるためにイスラエルレバノン侵攻シリア空爆もありかもしれません.
その時は,大変なことになるでしょうね.
Nuclear War against Iran | Global Research - Centre for Research on Globalization
http://www.parc-jp.org/main/a_project/theme/kitazawa/kitazawa060109
これも関連です.

President Ahmadinejad's trap

by Daniel F., Feb. 8, 2006
http://www.unknownnews.org/06F04-F10d-208DanielF.html


I believe that President Ahmadinejad of Iran is goading the U.S. and Israel into attacking him. He knows he does not have sufficient military assets to attack Israel let alone America, but he knows he can win a defensive war and bring down the American empire. When America can no longer subsidize Israel, Zionism will be put to rest. I would like to make a few points about the insanity of attacking Iran.

1) Iran has Russian-made Sunburn missiles which can sink an aircraft carrier and shoot down an F-16. Are you prepared to lose all U.S. Navy ships in the Persian Gulf? Do you realize what that loss would do to America?

2) Iran has the ability to shut down all shipping in the Gulf. Are you prepared to pay $300 to $400 for a barrel of oil?

3) Iran stopped recruiting suicide bombers when they had 40,000 volunteers. That many dedicated and educated young people could easily cut U.S. supply lines into Iraq, kill many thousands of our troops and destroy what is left of our military morale. Are you prepared to destroy the only army that is willing to defend you?

4) The air campaign against Iran would include targets 150 feet under Tehran protected by double concrete walls with lead lining. There would be enormous civilian casualties. How many suicide bombers would it take to blow up the oil refineries in your area? How many Americans would die if all the refineries in the greater Houston area were blown up? What would the price of gasoline be if oil were $300 a barrel and several dozen refineries were destroyed? What would happen to your country if gasoline were $9.00 a gallon? What percentage of Americans would not be able to afford to drive to work?

5) America does have a strategic petroleum reserve which could sustain us for a few months though we would have to build refineries to process it. China and Japan have almost 2 trillion dollars of absolutely worthless paper currency that they cannot spend. If they spent all the money they earn selling to us, the dollar would collapse from the sudden increase in circulating dollars. You must realize that raising the price of oil to $300 a barrel would destroy the dollar and the world economy. Look at a world map and ask yourself which of these countries both import oil and cannot afford to pay $300 a barrel? All of those countries will be destroyed economically and politically. And you will have no army to protect American citizens and property.

6) You must realize that your purchasing power is being propped up by China, Japan and a handful of other nations that are willing to accept absolutely worthless pieces of paper for cars, computers, and everything at Wal-Mart. Attacking Iran will bring all of those subsidies to a crashing halt. When that happens, everyone will protect themselves by dumping trillions of dollars into commodity and currency markets. I calculate that prices will go up 1,000%. That means a relatively well off pensioner with a 2005 income of $3,000 a month will have to live on $300 a month. That will not pay rent, buy food, pay for utilities and incidentals. Millions of elderly will have no choice but to commit suicide. I would expect an unemployment rate of 25% and real after tax wage cuts of 50% to 70%. Do you realize what would happen to your community if half the people could not afford to eat? Would you be willing to shoot people who had not eaten food for 3 days? a week? Would you be willing to shoot their children? Would you be willing to live in a country that did precisely that?

I repeat. President Ahmadinejad of Iran has thought this out. He knows what he is doing. He is so unwilling to live under the New World Order that he has decided to risk his life and the lives a few million Iranians. It is true that you can drop a few nukes on Iran and destroy it. But you must realize that your country will cease to exist as you knew it. Do you really want to destroy America?


Daniel F.